My count as of this morning: Bush 290, Kerry 248.
Kerry: WA, OR, CA, MN, WI, IL, MI, PA, VT, NY, NH, ME, RI, MA, CT, NJ, DE, MD, DC
Bush: AK, HI, NV, ID, UT, AZ, MT, WY, CO, NM, ND, SD, NE, KS, OK, TX, IA, MO, AR, LA, MS, TN, KY, IN, AL, GA, OH, NC, VA, WV, SC, FL
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11 comments:
What polls did you base this count on?
I based this on the "poll of polls" at realclearpolitics.com. RCP averages polling data from individual states.
Kerry: 272
Bush: 266
OH & HI go for JK
I think Monday's Gallup poll will give us a better idea where some of these states are going.
Kerry: 272
Bush: 266
Anonymous seems pretty confident.
The latest round of polling out of Florida has made me less certain that Bush will win it. Ohio and Florida are just too close to call. The polling in both states has been all over the place.
Kerry: 0
Bush: 0
Nader: 538
I have a question. Given the incredible closeness of this election, and the likelihood of voter irregularities in at least a couple of states, what is the outcome if the issue is again thrown to the Supreme Court? Given recent history, can the Court realistically decide in favor of President Bush? And if they do, what sort of reaction can we expect from the “public”?
I’m interested in hearing the predictions of the big brained bloggers of big tent as to whether we will know definitively Tuesday night or Wednesday morning who won?
Nice alliteration. My bold prediction is I hope the election does not drag out, mostly because I am so damn tired of this campaign. I would suspect in the end that only a few states will be close enough for it to matter, and even then the complaints are going to have to be pretty legitimate to drag things out.
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